ICC World Cup: Wounded Pakistan Hard Pressed to Repeat 1992 Triumph
Pakistan is known for having talented players but their unpredictable character means making any convincing prediction nearly impossible.
If there is one team among the top eight at the World Cup which could either crash out embarrassingly in the first round or romp to the title, it's Pakistan. (Complete coverage of the World Cup)
The talented yet unpredictable side are haunted by injuries to their fast bowlers, the suspension of match-winning spinner Saeed Ajmal and a tussle for the captaincy between Misbah-ul Haq and Shahid Afridi.
Frontline paceman Umar Gul was not selceted in the 15-man squad after failing to recover from a knee injury while another new-ball bowler Junaid Khan had to withdraw.
Twin defeats in the warm-up matches to second string sides followed by two one-day internationals routs by New Zealand multiplied the enormity of the task for Misbah's men to match Imran Khan's World Cup triumph -- Pakistan's only win -- in Australia some 23 years ago.
"Desite the problems this team has the spirit of cornered tigers," said chief selector and former captain Moin Khan, a key member of 1992 winning team.
"If they play to their potential this team can surprise the world."
Captain Misbah, who has recovered from a hamstring injury, is also confident of the best results.
"The format of this World Cup is such that teams have a lot of opportunities," said Misbah, who will retire from one-day cricket after the World Cup.
"It would be the icing on the cake if I end my one-day career with the trophy."
But Misbah knows his bowling will miss Ajmal, who has single-handedly won matches for Pakistan before being suspended for an illegal bowling action last September.
Spinning all-rounder Mohammad Hafeez -- suspended in November last year also over an illegal bowling action -- needs to clear a reassessment test to allow the right combination to Misbah.
"It will be important that Hafeez clears the test because he is two-in-one and his bowling gives us the right combination," said the captain.
Lanky paceman Mohammad Irfan -- the tallest man to ever play international cricket at 7 feet, one inch -- is expected to be the X-factor in an otherwise inexperienced pace attack.
"To me the X-factor in our team is Irfan. With his height I think he can be dangerous," said coach Waqar Younis, who missed Pakistan's World Cup win in 1992 with a back problem.
In Ajmal's absence, leg-spinner Yasir Shah, along with all-rounder Afridi, will handle the spin department.
Afridi, who will also quit one-day cricket after the World Cup, will be important too as a batsman in the slog overs as will be Umar Akmal, Misbah and Sohaib Maqsood.
Pakistan's top-order problem persists as Hafeez opening the innings with Ahmed Shehzad doesn't always guarantee a trouble-free start.
They will hope experienced the Younis Khan and Misbah provide stability to the batting, for which the main problem lies in playing too many dot balls.
Pakistan has the worst run-rate among the top ten teams in playing dot balls from over 11 to 40.
Pakistan must win one of their first two matches -- against arch-rivals India and the West Indies -- in order to have an easier passage into the last eight.
If not, their qualification will rely on their last group B match against a dangerous Ireland team, the same opponents who ousted them in the first round of the 2007 World Cup in the Caribbean.