Commonwealth Games 2014: Analysing India's Medal Prospects

The 20th edition of the Commonwealth Games 2014 will see close to 5000 athletes from 71 nations of the erstwhile British empire compete for the top honours with superstar sprinter Usain Bolt of Jamaica and middle- and long-distance king Mo Farah of England expected to set the Hampden Park Stadium ablaze. (CWG opens in colourful, moving ceremony | Pics)

A total of 261 medal events across 18 sports will be contested over 11 days in the third-biggest multi-sporting event after the Olympics and Asian Games. The Games will also include the highest ever number of para-sport events with 22 gold medals up for grabs across five sports. (India lead players parade at Glasgow | Pics: Indian flag flutters high in CWG opening ceremony)

India have sent 215 athletes to participate in 14 sports, their largest ever after 2010 Delhi CWG. But the nation will be hit hard by the scrapping of archery and tennis from Glasgow Games and the reduction in the number of medal events in shooting and wrestling.

The country had won a combined 12 medals from archery and tennis in 2010 while bagging 14 medals from the 18 events dropped this time from shooting. Greco-Roman category in wrestling, from which India won eight medals in 2010, has also been done away with in Glasgow. (Delhi and Glasgow games like 'chalk and cheese', says CWG federation)

With several of the shooters, who had given 30 medals in 2010, also not in peak form, India's medal tally is expected to reduce drastically from the 101 (38, 27, 36) in 2010 and anything above 60 can be considered an achievement. (CWG's tribute to Malaysia Airlines victims)

India and Canada, who have sent a 265-strong team to Glasgow, their largest ever for a non-home Commonwealth Games, are expected to fight it out for the third place.

Canada will not be hit hard by scrapping of disciplines as they won just three medals in Greco-Roman wrestling in 2010 while they had a small presence in shooting.

India, who have more than half of the total two billion population of the Commonwealth countries, have returned with nearly 30 medal winners of the last Games with the likes of Abhinav Bindra, Gagan Narang, Vijender Singh, Sushil Kumar, Yogeshwar Dutt, Krishna Poonia, Ashish Kumar, Achanta Sharath Kamal set to prove their mettle once again.

SHOOTING

As usual, shooting is still expected to contribute a major chunk of medals for India despite 18 events being dropped in Glasgow since the last edition. In Delhi, shooting had given 30 out of 101 medals India won and this time also, the country would look up to the likes of star marksman Abhinav Bindra, Gagan Narang, Vijay Kumar, Heena Sidhu to deliver once again.

WRESTLING

India will also find their medal count getting reduced due to scrapping of Greco-Roman wrestling (seven events) from which the country had won four gold, a silver and two bronze.

But, India still are expected to win at least 10 medals from wrestling.

Olympic medallists Sushil Kumar and Yogeshwar Dutt will lead the campaign and both, though fighting in new weight classes due to tweaking of categories by world governing body FILA, would be looking for gold in 74kg and 65kg freestyle respectively.

HOCKEY

In the Olympic sport which is most sentimentally attached to the people, India are expected to win at least a medal either from men or women.

Indian men won a silver in 2010 CWG after a humiliating loss to Australia in the final and this time they will have to beat either New Zealand or England in the semifinals, if they reach that stage, to make it to the title round.

In women's hockey, India will first hope to finish in the top two in their group with higher-ranked New Zealand and South Africa in the fray.

ATHLETICS

India are also set to lose out medals in athletics, which yielded 12 medals, including two gold, last time. With lack of preparation ahead of the Games and most of the track and field athletes struggling for form, the country may not even reach the half-way mark in the blue-riband sport of the multi-sporting event.

The country may expect four to five medals in athletics with the likes of defending women's discus throw champion Krishna Poonia and Vikas Gowda (men's discus throw) and young Arpinder Singh (men's triple jump) among contenders.

Women's 4x400m relay quartet has an outside chance for a medal while women's discus may give another medal with Seema Punia having a chance in a field which has very few world-class competitors.

BADMINTON

In badminton, despite the absence of star shuttler Saina Nehwal, India are expected to do well and almost certain to win a medal in men's and women's singles. Rising star PV Sindhu is the highest-ranked shuttler in women's singles and she can win a gold this time.

In men's singles, with the pulling out of world number one Lee Chong Wei of Malaysia, Parupalli Kashyap should win at least a medal if not gold. Another Malaysian Wei Feng Chong is now the highest ranked player left in fray at 19th while Kashyap, bronze winner in 2010 Delhi CWG, is ranked two rungs below.

England's Rajiv Ouseph, who won a silver in 2010 Delhi CWG, is third highest ranker at 27th but he has struggled with his form this season and India's K Srikkanth or RMV Gurusaidutt has the capability to bag a medal.

Defending women's doubles champions Jwala Gutta and Ashwini Ponappa may also get a medal though it will be tough for the Indian pair.

WEIGHTLIFTING

The loss in athletics may be compensated by weightlifting which could turn out to be the surprise discipline for India as the medal tally of eight in 2010 may be surpassed this time. The country's lifters had done exceedingly well in the Commonwealth Championships in November last year.

With weightlifting heavyweight Nigeria coming in Glasgow without much preparation and in the absence of a couple of Malaysian gold winners of last Games, India may get more medals than the eight they won in Delhi though it is difficult to predict the colour of the medals.

BOXING

Indian boxers may be able to win the same number of seven medals which they bagged in 2010 but unlikely to bag three gold though defending light welterweight (upto 64kg) champion Manoj Kumar (64kg) and 2008 Beijing Olympics bronze medallist Vijender Singh (75kg) are taking part in Glasgow.

For the first time, women's boxing will be introduced in the Commonwealth Games in three weight categories - 51kg, 60kg and 75kg - and the Indians, including former Asian champion L Sarita Devi (60kg) will be in the reckoning for a medal each.

TABLE TENNIS

India should also win at least two medals in table tennis. The Indian paddlers had won five medals, including a gold in men's doubles, in 2010. Veteran Achanta Sharath Kamal, who was part of gold-winning pair in 2010, is again leading the Indian campaign.

GYMNASTICS

Gymnast Ashish Kumar won a silver and a bronze in men's vault and floor exercise in the last Games in Delhi but it will have to be seen whether he can repeat that performance in Glasgow while the judokas are also hoping to get at least a medal in their sport which returned to the CWG fold after 2002.

Para athlete Prasanta Karmarkar won a bronze in men's 50m freestyle S9 swimming in 2010nd he is also in the fray again.

Meanwhile, Olympic champions Bolt, Farah and Wiggins headline a host of star names hoping to bury injury problems and selection snubs to strike gold at the Commonwealth Games.

Australia topped the medal count at 2010 Delhi Games with 177 medals (74, 55, 48) against England's 142 (37, 59, 46) but two years later, Britain won the battle that really counted, clinching 29 gold medals in London Olympics while Australia managed seven, sparking fierce recriminations Down Under.